John R. Bryan

Cost of Electricity

Wed, 25 May 2011 08:25:46 -0600

We complain about rate increases and 3% increase to a fixed income family is painful, but are we really realistic about the increases in comparison to the rest of the economy? Please note the national cost of electricity in the above chart and feel free to flame me; however, it isn’t my data:
Sources: 2006-2008: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Form EIA-826, "Monthly Electric Sales and Revenue Report with State Distributions Report;" 1992-2005: Form EIA-861, "Annual Electric Power Industry Report."
Cross posted at Fleet Energy Company: http://www.fleet-energy.com/?p=84

2011 Integrated Energy Policy Report Committee Workshop on Energy Storage for Renewable Integration: Panel 2: Energy Storage Applications and Economics - EVs/PHEVs and Energy Storage

Mon, 25 Apr 2011 14:49:45 -0600

Yes, Commercial Fleets will deploy first. Batteries have a value but can they operate well within the costs of Coal, Nukes, Wind, and Natural Gas?

An Overview of Security on the Smart Grid Industry

Fri, 1 Apr 2011 11:09:25 -0600

This overview talk was given at CRISP Workshop on Information Security. After a brief history of the Smart Grid, reasons for minimal investment into security of smart grid will be given. This will be followed by pointing out the consequences to our national infrastructure if appropriate defenses are not deployed. Finally, several open research questions related to smart grid security will be presented.

Fleet-Energy.com

Thu, 25 Nov 2010 12:01:59 -0700

We have reached our next business stage at Fleet Energy when we build a web presence to describe our plans and activities. As of yesterday, we have built and provisioned a web server, wiki, and blog that as of today (11-25-2010) is still fairly content-less. Personally, I welcome your ideas and suggestion for content.

The picture above is from Colorado State University’s Dr Ron Sega conceptualization of smart grid (I’ve changed his “aerospace” for “transportation.”) . Fleet Energy wants to own the batteries in the middle of that Venn Diagram. The batteries in large commercial fleet vehicles for electric drive and grid support.

Please feel free to come watch us and join us grow in this new smart grid environment.

Denver Business Series: Smart Grids

Sun, 31 Oct 2010 13:13:50 -0600

Clink on the link for my overview of smart grids. Here was the invite link:
http://www.dbseries.com/event/smart_grid_21st_century

Solar Energy, Please: Poll Shows Most Americans Want Solar Now

Fri, 22 Oct 2010 10:32:30 -0600

With all things being equal, coal or sun? Well, of course, the sun. Unfortunately, all things are not real close to equal.

The Problem Is: sun is still more expensive, doesn't shine at night, and doesn't shine brighter when you want to turn something on. There are ways to fix those issues but they too are more expensive. People with money might be willing to pay extra, like they do now to put solar on their roofs, but not everyone is willing to take that extra cost IF (and that's s big "IF") things are working just fine now.

It's dealing with the "IF", that is R&D, ARRA, ITC Credits, National Labs, VC money, and Smart Grid's goal to fix: without spending more than we would normally. IF things get worse (i.e. global warming or terrorism), we might have to spend more than we already do per month for electricity.

It depends on what the meaning of the word "IF" is.

True Cost of Energy Generation (2007 data)

Sun, 22 Aug 2010 09:12:59 -0600

What is the total cost of ownership of wind, coal, solar, etc based generation? This report from 2008 attempts to take a pass at answering it. Excellent data inside.

Value of Energy (and Power) Storage by Sandia

Sun, 22 Aug 2010 09:07:01 -0600

So what is the value of a kW or kWh on today’s electrical grid. Enjoy the 244 pages but please feel free to check out page 19 (xix) in the report. It’s a nice table with a ton of data. I have some issue with the lack of raw data and calculations so I use the report primarily for a qualitative list over potential revenue streams.

Enjoy.

Volt vs Malibu

Sat, 31 Jul 2010 15:22:07 -0600

So, I got this email from GreenTechMedia (great group by the way, you should subscribe) blogging Rush Limbaugh’s attack on the Chevy Volt that just drove me nuts. With and without the $7,500 Federal incentives, here is the math per month:

Malibu (22MPG) Volt Base Volt w/ $7,500
Base Cost: $29,870 $41,000 $33,500
5 yr, 6.51% Loan $584.58 $802.40 $655.62
Fuel for 40 Miles $108.33 $34.67 $34.67
Cost per Month $692.91 $837.07 $690.29
Difference n/a $144.15 more $2.63 LESS

[The tax credit was enacted in 2005]
Yes, in case you didn’t already notice, Rush Limbaugh would like General Motors and the Chevy Volt to fail because he doesn’t agree with the politics of the President of the United States. GM has 204,000 employees that need a success in the Volt to help rebuild the GM brand and pay back the rest of US taxpayers as we are 61% shareholders of GM.

GM should NOT succeed if it can’t compete. No more bailouts. HOWEVER, the Volt is a sweet ride and can be a great car for many people. You can argue the need for the $7,500 tax credit itself, but for the Chevrolet Volt and General Motors?

LET IT COMPETE ON ITS OWN MERITS IN THE MARKET.
Leave the politics out of the equation please.

Attending “Creating Climate Wealth” in DC

Tue, 20 Apr 2010 11:44:39 -0600

http://www.greentechmedia.com/events/special/creating-climate-wealth/
Creating Climate Wealth will convene respected entrepreneurs in Washington DC jointly with a selected group of Intrapreneurs from the government, non-profit, and corporate communities to provide their insights and expertise on the policies, market frameworks, and programs that will clear the barriers to deliver these emission reductions and promote job creation. The gathering will start from existing proposals, but will encourage participants to use their entrepreneurial expertise to problem-solve new approaches based on budget deficits and other market conditions.

Jon Arnold speaks with John Bryan

Mon, 12 Apr 2010 11:47:53 -0600

“For attendees of our last Smart Grid Summit, you may recall a keynote talk from John R. Bryan, Director, Energy Systems. John is quite involved in the smart grid sector and is vocal on several issues that are really driving things along. I happen to share many of his views, and we thought that an interview format would be a good way to bring those ideas forward. This segment is Part 2 of my recent dialog with John, and Part 1 ran here on Friday.”

http://smart-grid.tmcnet.com/topics/smart-grid-fa/articles/81350-jon-arnold-speaks-with-john-bryan-energy-systems.htm
http://smart-grid.tmcnet.com/topics/smart-grid-fa/articles/81480-jon-arnold-speaks-with-john-bryan-part-2.htm

The view from the other side of the table on April 26

Fri, 9 Apr 2010 11:19:38 -0600

For emerging energy and environmental technology to make an impact, technology developers need buy-in from their major potential customers: utilities, infrastructure project developers, and major industrial and commercial energy and water users. However, conversations between technology developers and those customers are fraught with misunderstandings and misaligned expectations. In this session, three end user representatives talk about what they want to hear from firms offering new technologies – and reveal the top mistakes companies pitching to them make.
http://www.luxexecutivesummit.com/Overview/Overview.php

WSJ.com - Even Boulder Finds It Isn't Easy Going Green

Tue, 16 Feb 2010 13:41:45 -0700

from the WSJ article I find two interesting items:
"By the end of 2008, emissions here were 27% higher than 1990 levels. That's a worse showing than the U.S. as a whole, where emissions rose 15% during that period, according to the Department of Energy."
and
"In a test run in a lower-income Boulder neighborhood, nearly 70% of homeowners accepted the free upgrades. "We want to take away the financial barrier and the hassle barrier," said Kara Mertz, the city's local environmental action manager. That may not be enough."

1.) BOULDER won't cut carbon slower than the rest of the nation
2.) 30% of the lower income residences won't take a FREE upgrade to save money

So, I've said this many times before and will say so again:
the ONLY way to fix our problems is to fix the root cause not just band-aid symptoms. We have to reduce the amount of carbon based fuels that we use and allow people to spend as much or as little of their private lives using them as they want. "Crunch all you want and we'll make more."

Remove the emissions and the problem goes away.
(OK, I'll give that we can sequester and scrub CO2 as well IF it can be done energy efficiently and for less cost than other solutions.)

Smart Grid Summit 2010 in Miami

Wed, 20 Jan 2010 20:53:19 -0700

My presentation are the Smart Grid Summit on January 21, 2010. Click the file to download a PDF. Secure Smart Grid ... or commercialization of the Smart Grid.

Keynote Address at Smart Grid Summit in Miami

Wed, 6 Jan 2010 23:27:35 -0700

http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20100106006627/en/President-Secure-Smart-Grid-Association-Deliver-Keynote
January 06, 2010 02:29 PM Eastern Time

Keynote Address at Smart Grid Summit in Miami
John Bryan Shares His Views on Energy Storage, Grid Security and Monetizing Energy Services on January 21, 2010
Smart Grid Summit 2010
NORWALK, Conn.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Technology Marketing Corporation (TMC) and Intelligent Communications Partners (ICP) today announced that John R. Bryan, President of the Secure Smart Grid Association, has been added to the list of keynote presenters at their Smart Grid Summit, taking place January 20-22 in Miami.
“Security is one of the most important, yet least understood Smart Grid challenges”
Mr. Bryan’s keynote, scheduled for Thursday, January 21st at 1:30 PM, will present his views on energy storage, electricity grid security, and on monetizing energy services.
Smart Grid Summit is the first event of its kind to address the unprecedented opportunity coming from the intersection of two core building blocks of our economy – utilities and communications. Collocated with ITEXPO, Smart Grid Summit is based on the joint vision of TMC and Intelligent Communications Partners to create a new forum for and actively engage an entire community that has, until now, lacked a focal point.
“John Bryan’s unique perspective on the management, security, and monetization of energy services has made him one of the most active, and sought-after speakers on the circuit, and we’re pleased to share his expertise with the audience of the Smart Grid Summit,” said Rich Tehrani, CEO and group editor-in-chief of TMC. “John’s addition to the impressive lineup we’ve assembled for this conference makes it a must-attend for anyone interested in capitalizing on the current and future opportunities associated with smart grid technologies.”
Mr. Bryan is the President of the Secure Smart Grid Association. He has previously served as Project Director for the Rocky Mountain Secure Smart Grid Initiative and he was Xcel Energy’s Utility Innovations’ program manager, where he was responsible for Xcel Energy’s: Vehicle-to-Grid Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (V2G PHEV) project; its Smart-Grid-City Distributed Generation project; and the utility’s Wind-to-Battery Energy Storage project.
"Security is one of the most important, yet least understood Smart Grid challenges," said Jon Arnold of ICP and Smart Grid Summit co-chair. "The SSGA will have an important role to play here, and our Summit will be one of the first events to bring this to the Smart Grid community."
Mr. Bryan is a former engineer from the automotive manufacturing industry. He has worked for a Tier 1 supplier to Ford, GM, Toyota, and others and he has also led telecommunications deployment programs for Qwest Communications. Prior to that, he was the owner and operator of a 25-employee rapid prototyping manufacturing plant.
Registration for the Smart Grid Summit is open, as well as registration for ITEXPO. Additional details on the Smart Grid Conference sessions are now live on the Smart Grid Conference Web site.
Members of the media can reserve media credentials by contacting Todd Keefe at todd@firpr.com. Vendors interested in exhibit and sponsorship opportunities at ITEXPO should contact Joe Fabiano.
Contacts
For Immediate Release PR (for ITEXPO) Todd Keefe, 617-262-1968 x 101 todd@firpr.com

E3 2009 - Impact of Vehicle Electrification

Wed, 11 Nov 2009 09:49:25 -0700

EVs are coming.
The Price of batteries is still dropping
400 mile battery is in sight
Uncontrolled charging is BAD
Increased peaking generation
Increased cost and outages
Controlled charging is GOOD
Lower capital costs lead to lower $/kWh - higher utilization of fixed assets
EVs only need to charge an average of 2.8 hrs and could “store wind”

Energy Storage Opportunities

Thu, 29 Oct 2009 12:09:42 -0600

I gave this presentation at the 2009 Energy Storage Summit to both show an immediate positive ROI for storage but to also initiate conversation on other energy services that are harder to monetize.

Energy Storage ROI

Thu, 29 Oct 2009 12:07:47 -0600

John Kluza from Green Tech Media Research and I gave this presentation at the 2009 Energy Storage Summit.

GhostNet and a Vulnerable Grid

Sat, 3 Oct 2009 08:15:46 -0600

If you think of how how much we rely on the grid for our lives and economy, I worry about the security quality in aging control systems like SCADA. SCADA is 70’s technology and is easily crackable with modern computers. We need to worry about when the next 9/11 will be the result of a hacker group taking over control of the grid or even causing widespread damage. It takes months to repair a substation. So when will the day come? The attached article says that day has already come and went. We are at risk.

Energy Storage Summit

Wed, 30 Sep 2009 23:30:44 -0600

John Bryan will be speaking at two panels and one workshop at this DC conference on 10/27/2009 - 10/29/2009. Summary information from their website:
http://www.energystoragesummit.com
Recharging the Electric Grid by Breaking the Barriers to Adoption and by Building on the Value Proposition for Large-Scale Storage Applications
One of the greatest challenges facing the electric power industry is how to harness the immense renewable energy resources and deliver them in a useable form as a higher-value product. By storing the power produced from renewable sources off-peak and releasing it during on-peak periods, energy storage can transform this low-value, unscheduled power into a schedulable, high-value energy source.
Attend Energy Storage Summit and learn from industry leaders on the essentials of energy storage:
1 Accommodate increasing renewables standards with commercially available and emerging technologies
1 Bolster operations and existing electric power assets with enterprise-wide integration onto the grid
1 Create new opportunities through federal and state-based incentive programs

Talking with John Bryan and John Kluza: Insight from today's leading energy practitioners

Wed, 30 Sep 2009 20:46:54 -0600

John Bryan and John Kluza are two of the industry leaders in Energy today. They will both be speaking at IQPC's Energy Storage Summit from October 27-29 in Washington, DC.

Field Testing Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles with Charge Control Technology in the Xcel Energy Network

Wed, 15 Jul 2009 07:46:06 -0600

http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy09osti/46345.pdf
In 2007, NREL and Xcel Energy collaborated on an analysis study to better understand the fuel displacement potential, the costs, and the emissions impacts of market introduction of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) into the Xcel Energy Colorado Service Territory. The study indicated the potential for petroleum displacement and highlighted the value of vehicle charge management to limit costs and emissions impacts. As an extension and demonstration of the analysis results, a real-world fleet demonstration project was initiated. The purpose of the project was to 1) quantify the real-world fuel savings benefits of PHEVs, 2) gain an understanding of potential utility loading scenarios due to the introduction of PHEVs, and 3) develop and demonstrate the equipment and tools necessary for utility controlled charging. The project team successfully evaluated the performance of three vehicles placed in consumer service with charge control functions directed by Xcel Energy. Ten different charge control scenarios were explored, several of which correlated to the previous analysis study of 2007. Analysis of 16 weeks of field study data supports the conclusions drawn in the previous study. PHEV technology holds great promise for enabling petroleum reduction in transportation. Utility controlled charge management was demonstrated and potential load profiles were generated; some of which were synchronized with renewable resources and ancillary services suggesting that utility load management of PHEVs could provide both low CO2 transportation fuel pathways and grid operational flexibility for utilities.

E3 Presentation from November 18, 2008

Thu, 4 Jun 2009 08:14:52 -0600

A presentation on the expected value of storage for Xcel Energy’s MISO grid. Project to implement is complete and analysis phase is underway.

Impact of Wind at 20% Integration

Mon, 1 Jun 2009 11:40:51 -0600

1. Energy and capacity “time shift” and spinning reserve value can support a “battery-like” storage system with installed capital costs between $1,500 and $2,000 per kW in PSCo
I. Based on comparison to natural gas peaking facilities, which provide less functionality (e.g., spinning reserve only when on-line)
II. Assumes base case natural gas prices. Acceptable capital costs increase with higher natural gas prices.
1. Battery storage is not currently economical but is approaching economic feasibility point – Lower capital prices plus additional value quantification could tip scale
I. Current price for NaS battery is $3,000/kW (for greater than 2 MW capacity),
II. Price is projected to go down to $2,500/kW over the next five years
1. Large scale “battery-like” storage can be more functional than fossil peaking units with no peak period emissions
I. Demand response/regulation/spinning reserve
II. Transmission constraint relief

Smart Grid - Utility's Perspective: Presentation at SK Group's Green Days

Mon, 25 May 2009 19:40:15 -0600

Here’s my presentation to SK Telecom (Group) on Wednesday 5/28/09. Please let me know if you have any comments.

Video at Roundtable (included FERC and Better Place)

Mon, 25 May 2009 19:31:15 -0600

My portion starts at 1:18:00 into the Roundtable Video
https://admin.acrobat.com/_a821448238/p12309403/

Smart Grid, Storage, and Electric Transportation

Mon, 25 May 2009 14:24:27 -0600

Gave this one at Stanford at 5/14/2009

5 Minute / 20 Slide Presentation on Energy

Mon, 25 May 2009 14:16:55 -0600

20 slides in 5 minutes! Pages turned automatically.